crazy88 comments on Decision theory and "winning" - Less Wrong

4 Post author: lukeprog 16 October 2012 12:35AM

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Comment author: crazy88 16 October 2012 11:06:16PM 1 point [-]

Yeah, that's right - so I think the proponent of CDT can be criticised for all sorts of reasons but I don't think they're (straight-forwardly) inconsistent.

As a note, the decision in NP is whether to take the opaque and the transparent box or whether to just take the opaque box - so the CDT agent doesn't just think they "may as well" two-box, they think they're actively better to do so because doing so will gain them the $1000 in the transparent box.

And yes, I agree that considerations of free will are relevant to NP. People have all sorts of opinions about what conclusion we should draw from these considerations and how important they are.

Comment author: shminux 16 October 2012 11:14:10PM 0 points [-]

OK, thanks for clearing this CDT self-consistency stuff up for me.

Comment author: crazy88 16 October 2012 11:40:30PM 0 points [-]

That's cool, glad I had something useful to say (and it's nice to know we weren't just talking at cross purposes but were actually getting somewhere!)

Comment author: shminux 17 October 2012 12:00:00AM 0 points [-]

It is, however, quite frustrating to realize, in retrospect, that I had already gone through this chain of reasoning at least once, and then forgot it completely :(