phane comments on Hardened Problems Make Brittle Models - Less Wrong

51 Post author: cousin_it 06 May 2009 06:31PM

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Comment author: phane 07 May 2009 01:30:24PM *  4 points [-]

If you pose someone the Monty Hall Problem, and their response is "It doesn't matter whether I switch doors or not! They're going to move the prize so that I don't end up getting it anyway!" Do you think they've understood the point of the exercise?

Comment author: bentarm 08 May 2009 01:37:28AM 3 points [-]

As far as I recall, in the actual game show Monty Hall was never required to open a 'goat' door and offer you the switch. In fact, he did so almost exactly often enough to make switching vs. not switching a neutral proposition. I'm not exactly sure why, but this feels very relevant to the point of this post.

Comment author: William 11 May 2009 11:00:27PM 0 points [-]

To make it look more fair than it actually is.