mytyde comments on [Link] Offense 101 - Less Wrong

28 Post author: Alejandro1 24 October 2012 09:28PM

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Comment author: mytyde 25 October 2012 01:52:23AM *  6 points [-]

(Napoleon didn't invade Russia because of cognitive bias. He'd already defeated Russia several times and "invaded" in 1912 with the object of forcing Russia to keep out of Poland and remain in the Continental System. Logistics killed Le Grand Armee.... Napoleon was actually above average height for his time period... the rumor that Napoleon was short is due to a perhaps-intentional failure to convert French measurement height units into British units of the same name, and so there's no basis for a "Napoleon Complex".)

A more interesting question would be "What cognitive biases through history have led us to think of Napoleon as a short person?"

Comment author: [deleted] 25 October 2012 04:01:12AM 11 points [-]

I suspect Yvain didn't mean 'Napoleon Complex' when he said 'cognitive bias' -- Napoleon, short or not, was probably vulnerable to e.g. thinking too much on his past successes in predicting the outcome of an invasion dominated by logistics in an unfamiliar way.

Comment author: Emile 25 October 2012 09:37:40AM 2 points [-]
Comment author: Yvain 28 October 2012 12:07:55AM *  1 point [-]

I was thinking more of overconfidence bias and planning fallacy: "I'll just waltz in here and conquer Moscow in a few months...99% chance it works fine."