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predictotron comments on Prediction market sequence requested - Less Wrong
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Care to at least take a stab at outlining what should be in it? Nate Silver's book has some discussion of prediction markets, including
What else should such a sequence cover?
Can you point to some examples of those "recent arguments" you've seen?
I've mentioned prediction markets to a few people in the context of learning how to make well calibrated forecasts, and the reaction is generally "ugh, gambling! no way!".
I came here looking for some information on implementing a prediction market at work. I happen to already have Nate's book, so I'll have to check that out. Thanks!
Cool! Where do you work?
For a while now I've also taken part in the Good Judgment Project prediction contests, since Season 2 as a "super-forecaster". I've scaled back my involvement this year for various reasons. But I do know that they're working on a commercial offering; depending on what you're looking to do, this may or may not be relevant to your efforts...