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army1987 comments on Case Study: the Death Note Script and Bayes - Less Wrong
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I disagree: Bayes is a big part of Less Wrong, and this is an excellent worked out example of how one could try to apply it in practice. If my pretty-poorly-written, qualitative-claims-only Applied Bayes' Theorem: Reading People got promoted, so should this.
Reading people is a task far more common than figuring out whether a leaked script for a movie is authentic, and many more people will be interested in the former.