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lukeprog comments on Original Research on Less Wrong - Less Wrong
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According to an article on PLOS Medicine, Most Published Research Findings Are False. Feynman provides an unsettling perspective on what's happened with research as well in Cargo Cult Science.
Have we done any better?
Dunno.
I bet math and logic papers have a higher frequency of valid results than medicine papers have of true results, and that LW math and logic results are more often valid than not.
Mainstream philosophy, however, is vastly less truth-tracking than medicine. I bet LW has a better philosophical track record than mainstream philosophy (merely by being naturalistic, reductionistic, relatively precise, cogsci-informed, etc.), but I'm not sure by how much.