I think the high barriers to entry for the US crowd mean I'm unlikely to be betting against gambling addicts, who have much easier options. I'd assume that InTrade skews well-educated and well-off. They can afford to lose a few hundred dollars to me.
I'm unlikely to be betting against gambling addicts,
Betting against US gambling addicts. There are gambling addicts all over the world.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, even in Discussion, it goes here.