ciphergoth comments on A Request for Open Problems - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (104)
Yes, and that's sort of intentional. I was trying to come up with a mathematical model of an agent that can deal with uncomputable physics. The physics of our universe seems likely to be computable, but there is no a priori reason to assume that it must be. We may eventually discover a law of physics that's not computable, or find out that we are in a simulation running inside a larger universe that has uncomputable physics. Agents using UTM-based priors can't deal with these scenarios.
So I tried to find a "better", i.e., more expressive, language for describing objects, but then realized that any fixed formal language has a similar problem. Here's my current idea for solving this: make the language extensible instead of fixed. That is, define a base language, and a procedure for extending the language. Then, when the agent encounters some object that can't be described concisely using his current language, he recursively extends it until a short description is possible. What the extension procedure should be is still unclear.
We aren't really Bayesian reasoning machines at all, and it isn't really accurate to speak of us having a prior. We choose a prior in order to use Bayesian reasoning to analyze a situation, and we seek to bend our natural reasoning to a Bayesian template in order to improve its accuracy, but we cannot wholly succeed in doing so. So the problem you raise should worry someone building AGI, but it's not realistic to imagine a human agent becoming so Bayesian that they swallow the Solomonoff prior whole and are literally unable to contemplate super-Turing Universes.
I don't think it's unreasonable, therefore, to adopt the Solomonoff prior as a useful model to aid reasoning and discussion, and rely on our human ability to make and adopt a new, super-Turing model if some more general prior would have favoured it.