simplicio comments on 2012 Less Wrong Census/Survey - Less Wrong

65 Post author: Yvain 03 November 2012 11:00PM

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Tags: meta survey

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Comment author: simplicio 04 November 2012 09:56:34PM 1 point [-]

I was pretty sure there were about 100 billion galaxies so I just divided by that factor.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 04 November 2012 10:48:51PM * 5 points [-]

That assumes aliens arising in each galaxy is an independent event when conditioning on your uncertainty.

Comment author: simplicio 04 November 2012 11:08:49PM 3 points [-]

...why yes, yes it does. Dur.