drnickbone comments on 2012 Less Wrong Census/Survey - Less Wrong

65 Post author: Yvain 03 November 2012 11:00PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (733)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: drnickbone 09 November 2012 01:33:47PM *  15 points [-]

Just taken - my first LessWrong census!

Interesting questions, though as a committed Bayesian I was very embarrassed that I couldn't even remember which century he was born! Guessed at about 20% chance of my estimate being within 20 years of the true date which it wasn't. So I was wrong, but at least right that I was wrong. I suppose that is "less wrong"?

Comment author: Cthulhoo 09 November 2012 04:28:41PM 0 points [-]

Same for me... missed by 60 years but stated 30% of accuracy. I'm actually emotionally confused about the whole matter :)

Comment author: [deleted] 12 November 2012 05:56:02PM *  1 point [-]

I correctly remembered what decade his theorem was published, but my guess about how old he was was off by a factor of 2.