So, what's the default clause on a contract for booze for immediate delivery? What makes you think a rational agent will fulfill the contract?
Maybe the ship's markets are built on Bitcoin and smart contracts with capability-based architectures & automation - they can't not deliver. (Hey, it's the future...)
http://xkcd.com/1132/
Is this a fair representation of frequentists versus bayesians? I feel like every time the topic comes up, 'Bayesian statistics' is an applause light for me, and I'm not sure why I'm supposed to be applauding.