MTGandP comments on Giving What We Can, 80,000 Hours, and Meta-Charity - Less Wrong
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You're absolutely correct. Discovery may not always be the best way of generating happiness; and if it's not, you should do something else.
Not all values are terminal values. Some people value coffee because it wakes them up; they don't value coffee in itself. If they discover that coffee in fact doesn't wake them up, they should stop valuing coffee.
What is sufficient is demonstrating that if discovery does not promote happiness then it is not valuable. As I explained in my sorting sand example, discovery that does not in any way promote happiness is not worthwhile.