I expect significant strategic insights to come from the technical work (e.g. FAI math).

Interesting point. I'm worried that, while FAI math will help us understand what is dangerous or outsourceable from our particular path, many many other paths to AGI are possible, and we won't learn from FAI math which of those other paths are dangerous or likely.

I feel like one clear winning strategy is safety promotion. It seems that almost no bad can come from promoting safety ideas among AI researchers and investors. It also seems relatively easy, in that requires only regular human skills of networking, persuasion, et cetera.