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chaosmosis comments on Overconfident Pessimism - Less Wrong
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Does anyone find this useful, personally? I've heard it as advice before, but it never helps me.
In what way does it not help? Does it leave you frozen, inactive? Perhaps also do a premortem for the failure modes caused by doing nothing?
It doesn't lead to any new insights. I can't generate any thoughts by pretending that it's now the future and that I'm looking back into the past. I don't know whether or not other people do somehow generate new thoughts this way. It sounds plausible while also sounding ridiculous, so I'm unsure whether or not it's legitimate.