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ChristianKl comments on LW Women- Crowdsourced research on Cognitive biases and gender - Less Wrong
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I often catch myself thinking that a slow timid driver in front of me is "probably a woman". Which is the case probably 80% of the time or more, when I get to check this assumption. I am also surprised when an aggressive driver behind me ends up being a female when I see them swerving past through the parking lane. Does this stereotyping make me sexist? Or just not blind to the realities of local driving? If this is a bias, which one is it?
How well do you know that's 80%? If you would now commit to writing down the next 100 results of such guesses, how confident (what p value) would you be that between 70 and 90 times it's a woman?
Why?
You might be remembering the times you are correct more clearly than the times you are wrong.
I thought about it, but I think I remember being surprised better than being right. But who knows, I did not keep count.