Kindly comments on Credence calibration game FAQ - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Academian 26 November 2012 12:52AM

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Comment author: Kindly 27 November 2012 01:46:38PM 2 points [-]

This claim seems incorrect:

[mean squared error] wouldn't penalize a credence of 99.999% on wrong answers enough to strongly dissuade unjustified absolute certainties.

Since the scoring rule is proper, the penalty for incorrectly being 99.999% confident is exactly high enough that you wouldn't want to say you are if you're merely 99.998% confident.

Unless you mean something different?

Comment author: ChristianKl 03 December 2012 10:13:30PM *  2 points [-]

I don't care about the US Postmaster General or about who won which sports championship. I don't care about boxing champions. I don't care about the various US sport teams.

I don't even want to learn that knowledge.

Nobel Prizes are more interesting. Who got the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine 2012? A) John B. Gurdon and Shinya Yamanaka B) Bruce A. Beutler, Jules A. Hoffmann and Ralph M. Steinman

Who got the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine for the discovery that mature cells can be reprogrammed to become pluripotent? A) John B. Gurdon and Shinya Yamanaka B) Bruce A. Beutler, Jules A. Hoffmann and Ralph M. Steinman

EDIT: (This comment should be top level, sorry...)

Comment author: Alexei 06 December 2012 04:01:33AM 1 point [-]

Yeah, I feel you. I'm currently adding a feature where you specify what questions you want to be asked.