gjm comments on Credence calibration game FAQ - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Academian 26 November 2012 12:52AM

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Comment author: gjm 07 December 2012 11:37:26PM 1 point [-]

My experience is distinctly similar.

I observed another curiosity. For much of my time playing the game I've got a larger fraction of 50%s right than of 60%s. I think what's going on is that the 50% cases are ones where I definitely have no idea of the answer and have to fall back on heuristics (have I heard of this person? does the name sound old or recent? etc.) -- and the heuristics work better than I can bring myself to admit they do :-).