siodine comments on 2012 Survey Results - Less Wrong

80 Post author: Yvain 07 December 2012 09:04PM

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Comment author: siodine 29 November 2012 07:33:39PM 3 points [-]

How well calibrated were the prediction book users?

Comment author: ChristianKl 29 November 2012 08:00:40PM 2 points [-]

Unfortunately we lacked a question to track prediction book users.

Comment author: siodine 29 November 2012 08:09:01PM *  0 points [-]

Hopefully then someone will do a supplementary calibration test for prediction book users in the comments here or in a new post on the discussion board. (Apologies for not doing it myself)

Comment author: gwern 29 November 2012 08:42:01PM 3 points [-]

http://predictionbook.com/predictions displays an overall graph.