BerryPick6 comments on 2012 Survey Results - Less Wrong

80 Post author: Yvain 07 December 2012 09:04PM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 29 November 2012 07:38:08PM 0 points [-]

God: 6 + 18.7 (0, 0, 1) [n = 1098] Simulation: 25.1 + 29.7 (1, 10, 50) [n = 1039]

From those who believe that we are in a simulation with over 70% confidence there's only one person who has a higher chance of God existing then the chance that we live in a simulation. Given that a God got here defined as someone with world making powers, how do you get a simulation without a God?

Comment author: BerryPick6 29 November 2012 07:45:58PM 0 points [-]

That the simulation controllers/creators aren't necessarily omnibenevolent is one possible explanation for us being in a simulation and there not existing what most people call 'god.'

Comment author: ChristianKl 29 November 2012 07:55:33PM *  4 points [-]

Omnibenevolent was not in the criteria for this question. If people used it as a criteria, it suggests that they felt victim to some bias that let's them underrate the possibility that a god exists.

Maybe it's the cognitive dissonance, because a good rationalist shouldn't believe in a god?

What is the probability that there is a god, defined as a supernatural (see above) intelligent entity who created the universe?

Comment author: BerryPick6 29 November 2012 08:01:11PM 1 point [-]

Right, just saw that, my bad.

Comment author: CCC 30 November 2012 07:31:16AM 0 points [-]

Maybe it's the cognitive dissonance, because a good rationalist shouldn't believe in a god?

I still don't see how that follows. Rationality can show that certain potential gods very probably don't exist (e.g. Thor), but I think that's as far as it goes.

Comment author: ChristianKl 02 December 2012 03:26:12PM 3 points [-]

I don't argue here it's rational to believe that god doesn't exist. I argue that there a tribal belief among rationalists that part of being a good rationalist mean to be an atheist or teapot agnostic.

Ratioanlists who hold that tribal belief might experience cognitive dissonce when they have to put a percentage on the chance that God exists.

Comment author: CCC 09 December 2012 10:38:22AM 0 points [-]

Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.