Vaniver comments on 2012 Survey Results - Less Wrong

80 Post author: Yvain 07 December 2012 09:04PM

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Comment author: magfrump 01 December 2012 04:41:39AM 4 points [-]

Also, while it is true that there are more LWers that are atheist than theist, male than female, white than other races, etc, it is at the same time very unlikely that most LWers have all those characteristics.

Given that we are 86.2% male cisgender, 84.3% caucasion (non-hispanic), and 83.3% atheist (spiritual or not) that means a minimum of 53% of LWers are all three; probably the actual number is over 60%.

In answer to the parent, atheism in America may have started becoming a more liberal pursuit somewhere around 30 years ago when the Republican party started being substantially more religious and dismissive of atheism and science.

Comment author: Vaniver 01 December 2012 04:43:26PM 4 points [-]

Out of the 1067 people who made their responses public, 694 are all three, which is 65%.

Comment author: alex_zag_al 01 December 2012 04:47:40PM 1 point [-]

Magfrump, how did you manage to guess that it would be over the product? I wouldn't have thought they would be positively correlated.

Comment author: Vaniver 01 December 2012 05:00:54PM *  1 point [-]

53% isn't the product; the product is 60.5%. 53% is 100%-13.8%-15.7%-16.7%=53.8%, i.e. every person who deviates from typical does so in only one way. magfrump did correctly guess that it was more likely that they were positively correlated than not, which is what I would have guessed as well. In the general population, being male is correlated with being atheist, and I haven't looked at the race-atheism correlations lately, but I wouldn't be surprised if being non-hispanic white is correlated with atheism.

[edit] Er, if by "the product" you were referring to the part where he says it's likely to be over 60%, then ignore this comment.

Comment author: alex_zag_al 01 December 2012 05:30:35PM 0 points [-]

good thing I read the last sentence first, yeah I was :p