Vaniver comments on 2012 Survey Results - Less Wrong

80 Post author: Yvain 07 December 2012 09:04PM

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Comment author: Vaniver 03 December 2012 03:49:33PM 2 points [-]

I imagine that when you divide karma by months in the community (while still restricting yourself to the top ten percent of absolute karma) the MoR contributors will look better. I'll do it tonight if you don't.

Comment author: gwern 03 December 2012 06:25:30PM *  2 points [-]

They do a bit better at the top; the sample size at "top 10%" is getting small enough that tests are losing power, though:

R> lw <- read.csv("lw-survey/2012.csv")
R>
R> hpmor <- lw[as.character(lw$Referrals) == "Referred by Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality",]
R> other <- lw[as.character(lw$Referrals) != "Referred by Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality",]
R>
R> hpmor <- hpmor[order(hpmor$KarmaScore, decreasing=TRUE),][1:25,]
R> other <- other[order(other$KarmaScore, decreasing=TRUE),][1:83,]
R>
R> hpmortime <- hpmor$KarmaScore / as.numeric(as.character(hpmor$TimeinCommunity))
R> hpmortime <- hpmortime[!is.na(hpmortime) & !is.nan(hpmortime) & !is.infinite(hpmortime) ]
R> othertime <- other$KarmaScore / as.numeric(as.character(other$TimeinCommunity))
R> othertime <- othertime[!is.na(othertime) & !is.nan(othertime) & !is.infinite(othertime) ]
R>
R> sort(hpmortime, decreasing=TRUE)
[1] 506.78 300.00 283.96 203.62 138.46 133.95 117.61 115.92 72.22 66.67 59.09 50.00 36.92
[14] 35.05 35.00 33.90 28.60 26.67 24.82 23.96 20.36 19.28 17.71 11.91
R> sort(othertime, decreasing=TRUE)
[1] 1895.36 647.88 456.97 338.89 263.16 250.00 250.00 235.71 184.90 183.33 173.91 166.67
[13] 165.00 146.93 146.65 145.83 142.86 133.33 133.33 133.33 125.00 125.00 125.00 116.45
[25] 102.73 100.00 97.22 84.38 83.33 83.33 83.33 83.33 75.00 75.00 74.51 72.00
[37] 69.60 68.88 66.67 66.67 63.33 61.11 60.71 60.34 58.33 57.14 55.95 53.43
[49] 52.17 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 48.48 46.46 44.12 43.75 41.67 41.43 40.00
[61] 39.66 36.36 35.91 33.33 33.33 31.67 31.32 30.00 30.00 30.00 27.50 27.47
[73] 26.95 25.33 25.00 25.00 24.06 23.33 22.73 18.25 16.67 16.67
R>
R> t.test(hpmortime,othertime)
Welch Two Sample t-test
data: hpmortime and othertime
t = -0.544, df = 72.4, p-value = 0.5881
alternative hypothesis: true difference in means is not equal to 0
95 percent confidence interval:
-87.52 49.99
sample estimates:
mean of x mean of y
98.44 117.20