Kindly comments on 2012 Survey Results - Less Wrong

80 Post author: Yvain 07 December 2012 09:04PM

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Comment author: Kindly 09 December 2012 07:47:57PM 0 points [-]

Well, I don't see the difference either, but I'm still not entirely sure what about this hypothesis seems unreasonable to you, so I was hoping this reformulation would help.

The reasoning behind it is as follows: I figure a generic discussion board on the Internet has roughly the same IQ distribution as Reddit. If LW has a high average IQ, but so does Reddit, then presumably these are both due to the selection effect of "someone who posts on an online discussion board". So to see if LW is genuinely smarter, we should be comparing it to Reddit, not to the Normal(100,15) distribution.

Comment author: gwern 09 December 2012 07:52:48PM 1 point [-]

I figure a generic discussion board on the Internet has roughly the same IQ distribution as Reddit.

I would be shocked if that were true. Even after having grown stupendously, Reddit is still better than most discussion boards I happen to read.

Comment author: Kindly 09 December 2012 08:08:24PM 0 points [-]

Okay, fair enough. I don't actually have much experience with Reddit.

I still think it's a reasonable reference class. For one thing, LW runs on Reddit-based code. In particular, I would say that being significantly smarter than Reddit is a good cutoff for the feeling of smugness to start kicking in.