Rylinks comments on 2012 Survey Results - Less Wrong

80 Post author: Yvain 07 December 2012 09:04PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 11 December 2012 07:42:20PM *  4 points [-]

Since each drug only reduces the number of headaches to a certain number, cost per headache isn't the right way to look at it. Compare a drug that reduces the headaches to 99/year and costs $0, to a drug that eliminates the headaches completely for $1.

Instead of comparing the cost per headache, it's better to assign a value to time, and calculate the net benefit or harm of each drug. If we assume one hour of time is valued at $7.25, or the US minimum wage, and using the stated information that each headache lasts three hours, the free drug nets you 1*3-0=21.75, drug A nets 70*3*7.25-350=1172.50, and drug B nets 50*3*7.25-100=987.5

Comment author: shminux 11 December 2012 08:30:22PM 2 points [-]

Instead of comparing the cost per headache, it's better to assign a value to time, and calculate the net benefit or harm of each drug.

That's not a good way of looking at severe pain. People often will do long hours of mind-numbing tasks in order to prevent real or imaginary future short-term discomfort, like working out to get in shape for a one-time event.

Comment author: [deleted] 11 December 2012 08:33:49PM 1 point [-]

You're right; I was generalizing from my experiences with migraines, where the pain goes away if I'm lying in a quiet, dark room

Comment author: lavalamp 11 December 2012 08:02:04PM 1 point [-]

Assuming I did the math right, it seems that folks valuing their time at more than $4.16 an hour should prefer drug A, and those valuing it at less should prefer drug B. To really make this unambiguous, "low income" needs to be defined; assuming it's at least minimum wage, drug A wins pretty clearly...

I think I did the wrong math ($ per headache saved) when taking the actual survey, sadly...