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DSimon comments on Rationality Quotes December 2012 - Less Wrong
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It turns out that facts, when viewed as a large body of knowledge, are just as predictable. Facts, in the aggregate, have half-lives: we can measure the amount of time for half of a subject's knowledge to be overturned.
Samuel Abesman, The Half-Life of Facts: Why Everything We Know Has an Expiration Date.
The tricky part there is figuring out which half.