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Spectral_Dragon comments on Most Likely Cause of an Apocalypse on December 21 - Less Wrong
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As there seems to be no evidence pointing to deadly diseases, AI, or anything on that particular day, I'm of the opinion that the closest thing to an apocalypse will be rioting due to the fact that we are scared. The earth won't explode or anything (likely) but I'll still be staying indoors to avoid the potential insanity. It'll be just like friday 13, only bigger.
I don't think there will be significant amounts of insanity. There might be a few suicides, but no public hazard.
My 1 minus epsilon prediction is that there will be gloating skeptics on 12/22.
What's your 50% prediction about the number of gloating skeptics?