drnickbone comments on Mini advent calendar of Xrisks: nuclear war - Less Wrong
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Yes, this is the general reason why global catastrophic risks (including global warming, global pandemics and so on) shade into existential risks.
In fact, my personal view of x-risk is that these are the most likely and worrying failure modes : some catastrophe cripples human civilization and technology, we never really recover, and then much further in the future die off from some natural extinction event.