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RichardKennaway comments on Why you must maximize expected utility - Less Wrong
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I'm not convinced that the absentminded driver problem has such implications. Its straightforward (to me) resolution is that the optimal p is 2/3 by the obvious analysis, and that the driver cannot use alpha as a probability, for reasons set out here.
But I'd rather not get into a discussion of self-referential decision theory, since it doesn't currently exist.