Decius comments on Why you must maximize expected utility - Less Wrong
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One result might change my probability estimate by less than my current imprecision/uncertainty/rounding error in stating said estimate. If the coin comes up H,H,H,H,H,H,T,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H... then I can assign a low probability to it being fair, but a lower probability to it having two heads.