jkaufman comments on More Cryonics Probability Estimates - Less Wrong
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I raised an alternative path to success when we discussed this Sunday, at the end when you asked for probability of "other failure" and I argued that it should go both ways. Specifically, I suggested that we could be in a multiverse such that being cryopreserved, even if poorly, would increase the probability of other universes copying you into them. I don't remember the probability I gave this at the time, but I believe it was on the order of 10^-2 - small, but still bigger than your bottom-line probability of 1/1500 (which I disagree with) for cryonics working the obvious way.
Some other low-probability paths-to-win that you neglected:
Whoops; this totally slipped my mind. Thanks for including them here.