magfrump comments on Bounding the impact of AGI - Less Wrong
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Insofar as it is intended to bring out the emotional parallels surrounding certainty of 63 orders of magnitude, I think it does a good job and brings a good example. I would, for one, go into that room with everyone I know for the free $100 (assuming it was conditional on the theorem being true, or I had at least a week to peruse the specific proof it checked and knew the exact specifications of what it judged to mean "bug-free")
My confidences don't differ by "63 orders of magnitude" about anything. If they did, I would know I was being overconfident about something.