Bugmaster comments on Intelligence explosion in organizations, or why I'm not worried about the singularity - Less Wrong
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This seems serendipitous:
http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/g62/link_the_collapse_of_complex_societies/
Yes, Tainter is one of a number of sources which are why I think humanity has seen diminishing returns. I've been casually dumping some info in http://www.gwern.net/the-long-stagnation although if we were discussing just books, I think Murray's Human Accomplishment covers convincingly a much more important kind of diminishing returns compared to Tainter's focus on resources and basic economic metrics.
(For those interested in the topic, I suggest looking at my link just for the intro bit about 5 propositions that the fact of diminishing returns does not prove; I believe more than one commenter on this page is committing at least one of those 5.)