shminux comments on The Zeroth Skillset - Less Wrong

48 Post author: katydee 30 January 2013 12:46PM

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Comment author: shminux 30 January 2013 10:17:29PM 0 points [-]

Here is my take on the list of mistakes from your poker link that seems to be related to situational awareness, directly or indirectly, classified by levels:

  • Inattention is the tendency to fail to concentrate on information that could be useful for future decision making. (Failure of perception, L1)

  • Clustering illusion (Apophenia) is the tendency to see patterns where none exist. (Failure of comprehension, L2)

  • Projection bias is the tendency to unconsciously assume that others (or one’s future selves) share one’s current emotional states, thoughts and values. (Failure of projection, L3)

Of course, L3, " extrapolating [...] information forward in time to determine how it will affect future states of the operational environment" includes basically all of the instrumental rationality skills.