pcm comments on Gauging of interest: LW stock picking? - Less Wrong

7 Post author: simplicio 01 January 2013 06:36AM

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Comment author: pcm 02 January 2013 01:50:58AM 4 points [-]

I've done well at stock market speculation over the past 12 years. It took me 20 years of doing it to become good at it. If I'd had LW available when I started I expect I could have become good in around 5 years.

One of the difficulties was that with most strategies, 1-year returns are sufficiently dominated by luck that the feedback is nearly useless.

The contest might be valuable if it lasted close to 5 years and wasn't a winner-take-all event. Would that attract any participants?

Comment author: simplicio 02 January 2013 07:21:39PM 1 point [-]

I'd be interested.

To what skill sets do you attribute your current success?