Jayson_Virissimo comments on Rationality Quotes January 2013 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: katydee 02 January 2013 05:23PM

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Comment author: Jayson_Virissimo 02 January 2013 11:16:50AM 1 point [-]

...since the 1930s, self-driving cars have been just 20 years away.

-Bryant Walker Smith

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 02 January 2013 04:39:56PM 13 points [-]

But we've had self-driving cars for multiple years now...

Comment author: Jayson_Virissimo 06 January 2013 05:27:14AM *  1 point [-]

Obviously, Smith knows this, since he has published papers on the legality of self-driving cars as late as 2012. The purpose of the quote (for me) is to draw an analogy between Strong AI and self-driving cars, both of which have had people saying "it is just 20 years away" for many decades now (and one of which is now here, making the people that made such a prediction 20 year ago correct).

Comment author: IlyaShpitser 05 January 2013 09:17:48AM *  1 point [-]

By principle of charity (everyone knows about google cars by now), I took the grandparent to mean "past performance is not a guarantee of future returns."

Comment author: MugaSofer 02 January 2013 04:56:36PM *  0 points [-]

Considering there are working prototypes of such cars driving around right now ...

EDIT: Damn, ninja'd by Luke.