katydee comments on Don't Build Fallout Shelters - Less Wrong
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Thanks for the reply!
What I am trying to say is that preparing personal defenses for society-level issues is very expensive per expected lifespan gained/dollar relative to preparing personal defenses for personal-level issues. Further, it is possible to actually remove the harm from many personal-level issues completely through personal precautions, while the same is not really likely for societal-level issues.
If you learn a better way of running and don't injure your knees, the knee injuries never happen. If you build a bomb shelter and are in your shelter when the nuclear war happens and the shelter holds up and you have sufficient supplies to wait out the radiation, society is still essentially destroyed, you just happened to live through it. Most, if not all, of the overall harm has not been mitigated.
I also think the difficulty of making an impact on the probability of society-level hazards occurring is overestimated by most, but that's a separate issue.
I hope that you are wrong here, but it seems quite plausible that you are right.