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satt comments on Assessing Kurzweil: the results - Less Wrong

45 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 16 January 2013 04:51PM

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Comment author: satt 15 January 2013 06:31:55PM *  1 point [-]

I've been looking forward to this. Looking at the raw data now to get an idea of the inter-rater agreement. The two columns of Youtopia ratings agree fairly well on the 33 predictions where they overlap, and the 9 LW raters seem to disagree more, but that's only my first impression. (Maybe it's just that inter-rater variation is more obvious for predictions with ≥3 ratings.) Thanks again to all the assessors for putting in the legwork.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 15 January 2013 06:38:45PM *  2 points [-]

There are more than two youtopia raters. Different people, at different times, completed the assessments individually (and sometimes did "second opinions" if someone had already done that one before them). I think they were 5 assessors in total.

Comment author: satt 15 January 2013 07:13:36PM 1 point [-]

Oops. Fixed.