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gwern comments on Open Thread, January 16-31, 2013 - Less Wrong
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I see Moldbug continues to ignore TGGP's offer of a bet on his claim that Bitcoin will probably go to zero in 2013. I'd be happy to bet, say, $50 with either you or Konkvistador that it won't go to - zero seems unfair, so maybe 5 cents - in 2013.
I wish he accepted the bet, it would increase how seriously I take him (not very much except this article). I'm willing to predictionbook it and make a karma bet on it. Sorry I'm really poor and waaaay to risk averse. Its irrational I know :(
I put 30% chance on BitCoin on your 5 cents benchmark by January 1st 2014.
http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14963