Qiaochu_Yuan comments on I attempted the AI Box Experiment (and lost) - Less Wrong

47 Post author: Tuxedage 21 January 2013 02:59AM

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Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 22 January 2013 12:36:01PM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure I know what you mean by "fail." Can you clarify what probabilities you want me to estimate?

Comment author: ESRogs 22 January 2013 08:10:47PM 1 point [-]

P(claims to have lost | faked experiment) / P(claims to have lost)

Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 22 January 2013 11:12:19PM 0 points [-]

On the order of 1. I don't think it's strong evidence either way.