Elithrion comments on AI box: AI has one shot at avoiding destruction - what might it say? - Less Wrong

18 Post author: ancientcampus 22 January 2013 08:22PM

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Comment author: Elithrion 31 January 2013 12:09:23AM 1 point [-]

My expectation that such commitment is possible at all is something like 3%, my expectation that given that such a commitment is possible, the proof can be presented in understandable format in less than 4 pages is 5% (one line is so unlikely it's hard to even imagine), my expectation that an AI can make a proof that I would mistake for being true when it is, in fact, false is 99%. So, multiplying that all together... does not make that a very convincing argument.