Vaniver comments on Rationality Quotes February 2013 - Less Wrong

2 Post author: arundelo 05 February 2013 10:20PM

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Comment author: Vaniver 01 February 2013 09:27:35PM 17 points [-]

If you're not making quantitative predictions, you're probably doing it wrong.

--Gabe Newell during a talk. The whole talk is worthwhile if you're interested in institutional design or Valve.

Comment author: Mass_Driver 02 February 2013 08:20:12AM 13 points [-]

What's the percent chance that I'm doing it wrong?

Comment author: Vaniver 02 February 2013 03:54:43PM 10 points [-]

The whole quote:

If you're not making quantitative predictions, you're probably doing it wrong, or you're probably not doing it as well as you can. That's sort of become kind of critical to how we operate. You have to predict in advance. Anybody can explain anything after the fact, and it has to be quantitative or you're not being serious about how you're approaching the problem.

The problems you face might not require a serious approach; without more information, I can't say.

Comment author: DanArmak 02 February 2013 11:14:55AM 1 point [-]

78.544%.

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