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jooyous comments on Rationality Quotes February 2013 - Less Wrong
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I don't think it's an inverse! The first one is saying you might not succeed in killing the person you're trying to kill and the second one is saying you might instead kill someone else that you don't want to kill! They're two properties of the same worst-case scenario. =]
I understood the second one as saying that that blind idiot with the knife might end up killing you, not necessarily intentionally, so be careful.
But also, if you're being a blind idiot waving your knife around, you could kill someone! So stop that. =]