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soren comments on What are your rules of thumb? - Less Wrong
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The first and foremost rule of thumb that I follow is 'question everything'. I find it easy to apply and it has yielded positive results.
needs a loop breaking clause, otherwise you spend all day in bed in a state of existential angst. Or at least I do...
Plus attention is a scarce resource.
"...but question data last." is the necessary addition for my rule of thumb. The vast majority of the time that the conclusion is wrong, the conclusion didn't follow from the data supposedly used in evidence of it anyways.