Dr_Manhattan comments on Think Like a Supervillain - Less Wrong
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Comments (111)
Large part of this comes from the fact that superheros rely on their special power whilst super-villains have to make do with more conventional means (intelligence), so this is largely fictional evidence.
In the real world I would not bet on Hitler/Stalin/Mao against Churchill, given the same resources. But to your point part of Churchill's power was understanding people (at least certain kind of people) - he called Hitler's end-game very early and against the prevailing political opinion at the time.
Amusing given your username.
I might add that being reactive means that you won't go haring off in suboptimal or completely crazy directions because of the tyrrany of identity.