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Elithrion comments on Utilitarianism twice fails - Less Wrong
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Bad posts often get a strong karma hit initially when the most vigilant readers check them and later return towards zero. It is possible (although not likely) that two months from now the post would stand at +2, your vote contributing to the positive score.
I feel this is sufficiently improbable that I'm willing to take the risk. That said, you raise a good point, and I'll make a note to check on this two months from now and see how it turned out (if it's -5 or higher, I'll consider my vote to be "wrong", if it's -6 or lower, I'll consider it to have been good).