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Warrigal comments on "What-the-hell" Cognitive Failure Mode: a Separate Bias or a Combination of Other Biases? - Less Wrong
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Of course, treating your own belief in a proposition as evidence for that proposition seems like a rather dangerous thing to do.
Depends, you don't necessarily want to recompute prepositions every time they come up.
Absolutely! But I think a lot of people implicitly do the equivalent when they try to be or appear consistent at all costs. The reasoning goes something like, "I believe X, therefore I must have a good reason for it and so X must be true!"