radical_negative_one comments on Why Bayes? A Wise Ruling - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Vaniver 25 February 2013 03:52PM

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Comment author: radical_negative_one 26 February 2013 11:17:19PM *  3 points [-]

The reverse story--"don't waste your time on liars"--probably shouldn't end with there actually being a wolf, as one should not expect listeners to understand the sometimes subtle separation between good decision-making and good consequences.

The lesson of the story (for the townspeople), is that when your test (the boy) turns out to be unreliable, you should devise a new test (replace him with somebody who doesn't lie).