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paulfchristiano comments on Why might the future be good? - Less Wrong
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Yes, there are definitely other possible explanations, though the ones I gave seem most common. But yours seems to beg the question---why does evolution lead to more goodness over time?
I could be wrong, but I don't think timtyler is claiming that this is a good argument but only that this is an argument that people use.
Evolutionary progress gets thumbs-up from me. The page I originally cited was my own.
We don't need to understand why evolution leads to goodness to see that it does so - and predict that it will continue to do so. However, scientists do have some understanding of why. Game theory, adaptation and synergy are some of the factors involved. Also a sufficiently-low frequency of meteorite strikes and cosmic rays is clearly an important factor.