Alicorn comments on Rationality Quotes March 2013 - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Jayson_Virissimo 02 March 2013 10:45AM

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Comment author: Alicorn 02 March 2013 01:07:37AM 20 points [-]

...these things are possible. And because they're possible we have to think of them so they don't surprise us later. We have to think of them so that if the worst does come, we'll already know how to live in that universe.

-- Miro, in Xenocide by Orson Scott Card

Comment author: Viliam_Bur 02 March 2013 08:16:01PM 8 points [-]

I assume "possible" in this context means "with probability higher than epsilon". Otherwise, there are too many possible things not worth thinking about.

Comment author: Alicorn 02 March 2013 09:58:42PM 2 points [-]

Right.

Comment author: Neotenic 04 March 2013 02:52:03AM 0 points [-]

Socially a higher threshold should play a role than the above epsilon. There are things that are so low in probability (though much higher than epsilon) that establishing a contract/agreement on what should both of you do if they happen is deleterious for the relationship. Such as when a couple who thinks they disagree about abortion asks: What should we do if the condom and pill don't work?

The probability is not so low. But the fight is too costly.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 04 March 2013 06:12:27AM 3 points [-]

The probability is not so low. But the fight is too costly.

It'll be even more costly to have the fight after the wife gets pregnant.