Going by the first 3 paragraphs, it was unclear to me whether you would be writing about climate change or a particular related problem in inference, of estimating the probability of low likelihood, high cost events as extrapolated from historical data.

It did not seem in any way so general as

The post is an answer to the question "what framework is appropriate for practical inductive reasoning?"

And looking through the rest of the post, I don't think the post as a whole is that general either. More like decision theory for low likelihood, high cost events as extrapolated from historical data.