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wedrifid comments on Just Lose Hope Already - Less Wrong
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Comments (76)
The relevant probability is p(benefits>costs) not p(benifits>0).
Reading through the context confirms that the relevant probability is p(increased knowledge). I have no specified position on whether the knowledge gained is sufficient to justify the expenditure of effort.
Indeed. I forgot. Oops.
Often it clearly isn't; so don't do that sort of research.
Don't spend $200 million trying to determine if there are a prime number of green rocks in Texas.